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us tariff hikes on canada mexico and china to impact gdp growth

US President Donald Trump has announced a 25% tariff increase on imports from Canada and Mexico, alongside a 10% hike on Chinese imports. UBS estimates this could reduce US GDP growth by approximately 0.8 percentage points, while maintaining a 4% GDP growth forecast for China through 2025, despite potential future tariffs.

ubs cuts china gdp growth forecast amid us tariff concerns

UBS has revised its 2025 GDP growth forecast for China to around 4%, down from 4.5%, citing potential US tariffs under President-elect Trump and ongoing weakness in the property market. Other banks like Goldman Sachs and HSBC maintain slightly more optimistic projections between 4% and 5%. As external pressures mount, China is expected to enhance domestic demand through stimulus measures, although concrete actions have yet to be implemented.
10:30 11.11.2024
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